[1]刘希林.灰色灾变模型在蒋家沟泥石流年输沙量短期预测中的应用[J].山地学报,1992,(01):57.
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灰色灾变模型在蒋家沟泥石流年输沙量短期预测中的应用()
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《山地学报》[ISSN:1008-2186/CN:51-1516]

卷:
期数:
1992年01期
页码:
57
栏目:
山地学报
出版日期:
1992-04-01

文章信息/Info

作者:
刘希林
中国科学院、水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所
关键词:
蒋家沟泥石流年输沙量灾变模型预测
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
根据蒋家沟泥石流年输沙量最近8年的实测资料,运用灰色系统理论的灾变预测方法建立了泥石流年输沙量的灾变预测模型,对未来可能出现的年输沙量超过200万立方米的灾变年份进行了预测,并引入等维新息模型,使短期灾变预测得以连续进行。

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更新日期/Last Update: 1992-04-01