[1]林 丽,樊 辉*,金 缘.山区县域土地利用/覆被变化多尺度多模型模拟对比——以云南省勐腊县为例[J].山地学报,2020,(4):630-642.[doi:10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000540]
 LIN Li,FAN Hui*,JIN Yuan.Multi-Scale and Multi-Model Simulation of Land Use/Land Cover Change in the Mountainous County: A Case Study of Mengla County in Yunnan Province, China[J].Mountain Research,2020,(4):630-642.[doi:10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000540]
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山区县域土地利用/覆被变化多尺度多模型模拟对比——以云南省勐腊县为例()
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《山地学报》[ISSN:1008-2186/CN:51-1516]

卷:
期数:
2020年第4期
页码:
630-642
栏目:
山地技术
出版日期:
2020-09-27

文章信息/Info

Title:
Multi-Scale and Multi-Model Simulation of Land Use/Land Cover Change in the Mountainous County: A Case Study of Mengla County in Yunnan Province, China
文章编号:
1008-2786-(2020)4-630-13
作者:
林 丽12樊 辉12*金 缘3
1.云南大学 国际河流与生态安全研究院,昆明 650091; 2.云南省国际河流与跨境生态重点实验室,昆明 650091; 3.中国科学院、水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所,成都 610041
Author(s):
LIN Li12 FAN Hui12* JIN Yuan3
1.Institute of International Rivers and Eco-Security, Yunnan University, Kunming 650091, China; 2. Yunnan Key Laboratory of International Rivers and Transboundary Eco-Security, Kunming 650091, China; 3. Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu 610041, China
关键词:
土地利用/覆被变化模拟 栅格尺度 LCM模型 FLUS模型 CA-Markov模型 CLUE-S模型
分类号:
P237
DOI:
10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000540
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
土地利用/覆被变化(LUCC)模拟及其尺度效应一直是土地变化科学的研究内容与难点。本文选择西南沿边山区县域——云南省勐腊县为试验区,利用LCM、FLUS、CA-Markov和CLUE-S探究该县域LUCC模拟的最适模型和栅格尺度。结合1994年、2004年两期Landsat TM影像分类生成的土地利用/覆被数据,以及自然与社会经济数据,在60、90、120、150、180、210和240 m七个栅格尺度下模拟该县域2014年土地利用/覆被空间格局,并以同期土地利用/覆被遥感分类数据为参考来评价模型模拟精度,筛选出最适模型和栅格尺度,进而模拟该县域2024年土地利用/覆被格局。研究表明:四种模型均能较好地模拟该县域土地利用/覆被变化(Kstandard=0.67~0.84),其中以LCM模型模拟精度最高(Kstandard=0.77~0.84); 各模型对不同土地利用/覆被类型的适用性不同,LCM模型模拟林地、园地和耕地效果最好,而FLUS模型模拟建设用地更佳; 四种模型模拟LUCC的最适栅格尺度均为120 m,其Kstandard>0.70。整合不同地类的最适模型和栅格尺度模拟结果有利于提高山区县域LUCC模拟精度。

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期(Received date):2019-10-12; 改回日期(Accepted date): 2020-07-09
基金项目(Foundation item):国家自然科学基金项目(41461017,41971239)。[National Natuural Science Foundation of China(41461017, 41971239)]
作者简介(Biography): 林丽(1996-),女,山东邹城人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向:地理空间过程模拟。[LIN Li(1996-),female, born in Zoucheng, Shandong province, M. Sc. candidate, research on geospatial process simulation] E-mail: lily96@mail.ynu.edu.cn
*通讯作者(Corresponding author):樊辉(1972-), 男,江西修水人,博士,研究员,主要研究方向:山地环境遥感研究。[FAN Hui(1972-), male, bron in Xiushui, Jiangxi province, Ph.D., professor, specialized in remote sensing of mountain environment] E-mail: fanhui@ynu.edu.cn
更新日期/Last Update: 2020-07-30