[1]孔祥玉,闵 婕*,侯莉蓉,等.权衡生态安全与城市扩展模拟的山地城市增长边界划定[J].山地学报,2021,(1):88-100.[doi:10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000578]
　KONG Xiangyu,MIN Jie*,HOU Lirong,et al.Delineation of the Growth Boundary of Mountain Cities by Weighing Ecological Security and Urban Expansion Simulation[J].Mountain Research,2021,(1):88-100.[doi:10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000578]
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权衡生态安全与城市扩展模拟的山地城市增长边界划定()
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《山地学报》[ISSN:1008-2186/CN:51-1516]

卷:
期数:
2021年第1期
页码:
88-100
栏目:
山区发展
出版日期:
2021-01-25

文章信息/Info

Title:
Delineation of the Growth Boundary of Mountain Cities by Weighing Ecological Security and Urban Expansion Simulation
文章编号:
1008-2786-(2021)1-088-13
作者:
孔祥玉1; 闵 婕2; 3; 4*; 侯莉蓉5; 文诗媛2; 冉会平2
1.天津师范大学 地理与环境科学学院,天津 300387; 2. 重庆师范大学 地理与旅游学院,重庆 401331; 3. 三峡库区地表过程与环境遥感重庆市重点实验室,重庆 401331; 4. GIS应用研究重庆市高校重点实验室,重庆 401331; 5. 重庆市南岸区规划和自然资源局,重庆 401147
Author(s):
KONG Xiangyu1;  MIN Jie2; 3; 4*;  HOU Lirong5;  WEN Shiyuan2;  RAN Huiping2
1. School of Geographic and Environment Sciences, Tianjin Normal University, Tianjin 300387, China; 2. School of Geographic and Tourism, Chongqing Normal University, Chongqing 401331, China; 3. Chongqing Key Laboratoryof Earth Surface Processes and Environmental Remote Sensing in Three Gorges Reservoir Area, Chongqing 401331, China; 4. Chongqing University Key Laboratory of GIS Application Research, Chongqing 401331, China; 5. Planning and Natural Resources Bureau of Nan'an District, Chongqing Municipality, Chongqing 401147, China
关键词:
城市增长边界;  CA模型;  生态约束;  山地城市
Keywords:
urban growth boundary;  CA model;  ecological security;  mountainous city
分类号:
F291.1,F205
DOI:
10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000578
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
进行城市空间增长边界模拟研究,对区域有序开发土地资源和有效保护生态效益具有重要意义。传统方法未考虑到现实约束下生态需求对城市扩展的影响,缺乏一定的客观评价。本文以2005年和2015年两期城镇建设用地数据为基础,从协调城市扩展与生态安全的视角出发,借助ArcGIS平台构建改进CA模型,模拟了2025年万州城区的城镇用地扩展情况,并划定了城市增长边界。首先,通过计算生态敏感性、生态服务价值和禁止开发区划定生态保护红线,结合水域用地得到生态安全格局; 其次,合理选取城市扩展潜力因子建立Logistic驱动评价体系,并纳入可控的邻域作用和随机作用构建CA模型模拟城市扩展的空间形态; 最后,综合评价划定出2025年城市增长边界。结果表明:(1)以2005年为基期模拟2015年研究区的城镇用地情况,模拟总精度为96.80%,Kappa系数为0.86,模型效果好;(2)2025年模拟的城市增长边界内面积为166.79 km2,占研究区面积的15.32%。模拟结果可为城市空间规划提供定量支撑,保障了城市扩展的可持续性,对生态环境敏感、城市用地紧张的山地型城市的增长边界划定具有参考价值。
Abstract:
The simulation of urban spatial growth boundary is of great significance for the orderly development of land resources and the effective protection of ecological benefits. Under the realistic constraints, traditional methods do not consider the impact of ecological demands on urban expansion, so they generally are lack of objective assessments. Based on the urban construction land data of the study area in 2005 and 2015, this practice constructed an improved CA model to coordinate the ecological security and urban expansion; then, we used the ArcGIS cooperation platform to simulate the urban land growth, and we finally delimited the urban growth boundary of Wanzhou city in 2025. In order to get the ecological security pattern, we first combined the water land with the ecological protection redline; among them, the ecological protection redline was calculated by three results which were ecological sensitivity value, ecological service value and prohibiting development zones. Then, through reasonably selecting the potential factors about urban expansion, a Logistic driven evaluation system was constructed; meanwhile, a CA model which including controllable neighborhood influence and random influence was established to simulate the spatial form of urban expansion. Finally, the urban growth boundary in 2025 was determined after comprehensive evaluation. The results indicated that:(1)taking 2005 as the base period to simulate of urban land use of the study area in 2015, the total simulation accuracy was 96.80%, and the value of Kappa coefficient was 0.86. The model worked well.(2)The area within the scope of the simulated urban growth boundary in 2025 was 166.79 km2, which was accounted for 15.32% of the total study area. The simulation results provide quantitative support for urban spatial planning, and ensure the sustainability of urban expansion. This study provides some reference value for delineating the urban growth boundary of mountains cities, which are along with sensitive ecological environment and limited urban land.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期(Received date):2020-02-01; 改回时间(Accepted date):2021-02-01
基金项目(Foundation item):国家自然科学基金(41501582); 重庆市教委科学技术研究项目(KJ1500316,KJQN201800519); 重庆师范大学校级招标项目(16xzb03); 重庆师范大学基金项目资助项目(17xl13009)。[National Natural Science Foundation of China(41501582); Science and Technology Research Project of Chongqing Education Commission(KJ1500316, KJQN201800519); University-Level Bidding Project of Chongqing Normal University(16xzb03); Chongqing Normal University-Level Funded Project(17xl13009)]
作者简介(Biography):孔祥玉(1997-),女,重庆长寿人,硕士研究生。主要研究方向:定量遥感。[KONG Xiangyu(1997-), female, born in Changshou, Chongqing, M.Sc.candidate, research on quantitative remote sensing] E-mail:kxybee@126.com
*通讯作者(Corresponding author):闵婕(1978-),女,四川南充人,博士,副教授。主要研究方向:土地利用与地理信息系统应用。[MIN Jie(1978-), female, born in Nanchong, Sichuan province, Ph.D., professor, research on land use and application of geographic information system] E-mail:tmtminjie@cqnu.edu.cn
更新日期/Last Update: 2021-01-30