[1]尚华明,洪建昌,张瑞波,等.树轮记录的西藏东北部过去552a上年10月至当年5月降水量变化[J].山地学报,2018,(06):821-832.[doi:10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000378]
　SHANG Huaming,HONG Jianchang,ZHANG Ruibo,et al.Tree-ring Recorded 522-year Precipitation from Previous October to May in Northeastern Tibet, China[J].Mountain Research,2018,(06):821-832.[doi:10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000378]
点击复制

树轮记录的西藏东北部过去552a上年10月至当年5月降水量变化()
分享到：

《山地学报》[ISSN:1008-2186/CN:51-1516]

卷:
期数:
2018年06期
页码:
821-832
栏目:
山地环境
出版日期:
2018-11-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Tree-ring Recorded 522-year Precipitation from Previous October to May in Northeastern Tibet, China
文章编号:
1008-2786-(2018)6-821-12
作者:
尚华明1; 洪建昌2; 张瑞波1; 范子昂1; 陈 峰1
1.中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所 新疆树木年轮生态实验室 中国气象局树木年轮理化研究重点实验室,乌鲁木齐 830002; 2.西藏自治区气候中心,拉萨 850000
Author(s):
SHANG Huaming1;  HONG Jianchang2;  ZHANG Ruibo1;  FAN Ziang1;  CHEN Feng1
1.Institute of Desert Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Xinjiang Laboratory of Tree Ring Ecology, Key Laboratory of Tree-ring Physical and Chemical Research of China Meteorological Administration, Urumqi 830002, China; 2. Tibet Climatic Center, Lhasa 850000, China
关键词:
树木年轮;  川西云杉;  降水量;  气候变化;  西藏
Keywords:
tree-ring;  Picea likiangensis var. balfouriana;  precipitation;  climate change;  Tibet
分类号:
P467
DOI:
10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000378
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
青藏高原是气候变化研究的热点区域,由于其极端寒冷、干旱的气候条件,环境因子对树木生长的限制作用明显,高原东部地区广泛分布的长龄针叶树成为过去变化研究的重要代用资料。本文利用位于西藏东北部3个采样点的川西云杉树木年轮资料,建立了宽度年表。树轮宽度指数与类乌齐和昌都气象站气温、降水资料以及格点PDSI的相关与响应分析发现,上年10月至当年5月的降水量是制约该区域树木的径向生长的主要气候因子,且具有明确的生理意义。在此基础上,建立了树轮宽度指数与降水量的线性转换方程(n=32,R2=52.9%,F=33.7),重建了西藏东北部公元1460—2011年期间上年10月至当年5月的降水量序列,确定其存在6个明显的偏湿阶段(1512—1533、1551—1630、1659—1729、1771—1790、1838—1862、1976—2011年)和5个明显的偏干阶段(1460—1511、1591—1614、1730—1770、1791—1837、1892—1930年)。空间代表性分析表明重建序列能较好地代表西藏东部地区(94°E～100°E,29°N～33°N)的降水变化。本文降水序列与研究区周边的树轮降水记录的对比发现,其共同的特征是19世纪早期的持续干旱和1980年中期以来的增湿过程,但本序列中最长的湿润期(1659—1729年)以及20世纪早期的干旱期(1892—1930年)与其他两条降水记录并不一致。近20年来明显的增湿过程可能是由于高原增温导致对流活动增强,进而增加有效降水。树轮降水记录不一致的原因除了降水存在较强的局地性特征以外,还可能是由于研究区处在南亚季风和西风系统的交互作用区。
Abstract:
As the third pole of the world, the Tibetan Plateau has been the hotspot of the large-scale climate change research. The long-lived needle-leave trees widely distributed in the plateau provide important proxies for past climate change. Three tree-ring width chronologies and their composite chronology of Picea likiangensis var. balfouriana were established in Changdu district of northeastern Tibet. Correlation and response analysis between tree-ring width index and climatic factors revealed that the total precipitation from previous October to May in the current year was the dominant climatic factor on their radial growth. The linear transfer function(n = 32, R2 = 52.9%, F=33.7)was introduced to reconstruct the precipitation history during 1460—2011. The reconstructed series indicated that there were six distinct wet periods(1512-1533, 1551-1630, 1659-1729, 1771-1790, 1838-1862, 1976-2011)and five drought periods(1460-1511, 1591-1614, 1730-1770, 1791-1837, 1892-1930). Spatial representativeness analysis demonstrated the reconstructed series could reflect regional precipitation change in the eastern Tibet(94°E～100°E,29°N ～33°N). Comparison between this study and other tree-ring based precipitation records in the surrounding area confirmed the consistency of lasting drought in the early 19th century with the wetting trend since the mid-1980s. However, the longest wet period(1659-1729)and the drought period in the early 20th century in this study were inconsistent with other two precipitation records. The significant wetting trend in the recent 20 years was probably resulted from the enhancement of vertical convention due to land surface warming. The inconsistency among tree-ring precipitation records was caused by both the distinct localized precipitation and the limited size of studied area, which lies in the interaction area of the South Asian monsoon and the westerlies.

参考文献/References:

[1] WU G, ZHANG Y. Tibetan Plateau forcing and the timing of the Monsoon Onset over South Asia and the South China Sea[J]. Monthly Weather Review, 1998, 126(126):913-927
[2] 吴国雄,毛江玉,段安民,等.青藏高原影响亚洲夏季气候研究的最新进展[J]. 气象学报, 2004, 62(5): 528-540 [WU Guoxiong, MAO Jiangyu, DUAN Anmin, et al. Recent progress in the study on the impacts of Tibetan Plateau on Asian summer climate[J]. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 2004, 62(5): 528-540]
[3] ZHAO H, MOORE G W K. On the relationship between Tibetan snow cover, the Tibetan Plateau monsoon and the Indian summer monsoon[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2004, 31(14):101-111.
[4] 施雅风, 李吉均, 李炳元,等. 晚新生代青藏高原的隆升与东亚环境变化[J]. 地理学报, 1999, 54(1):10-21 [SHI Yafeng, LI Jijun, LI Bingyuan, et al. Uplift of the Qinghai-Xizang(Tibetan)Plateau and east Asia environmental change during last Cenozoic[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 1999, 54(1):10-21]
[5] 孙鸿烈. 青藏高原的形成演化[M]. 上海:上海科学技术出版社, 1996: 168-192 [SUN Honglie. Formation and evolution of the Tibetan Plateau[M]. Shanghai: Shanghai Science and Technology Press, 1996: 168-192]
[6] FRITTS H C. Tree Rings and Climate[M]. London: Academic Press, 1976:258-270
[7] 邵雪梅, 梁尔源, 黄磊, 等. 柴达木盆地东北部过去1437a的降水变化重建[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 2006, 2(3):122-126. [SHAO Xuemei, LIANG Eryuan, HUANG Lei, et al. A reconstructed precipitation series over the past millennium in the northeastern Qaidam Basin[J]. Climate Change Research, 2006, 2(3):122-126]
[8] 邵雪梅, 王树芝,徐岩, 等. 柴达木盆地东北部 3 500 年树轮定年年表的初步建立[J]. 第四纪研究, 2007, 27(4):477-455 [SHAO Xuemei, WANG Shuzhi, XU Yan, et al. A 3500-year master tree-ring dating chronology from the northeastern part of the Qaidam Basin[J]. Quaternary Sciences, 2007, 27(4):477-455]
[9] SHAO X M, XU Y, YIN Z Y, et al. Climatic implications of a 3585-year tree-ring width chronology from the northeastern Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau[J]. Quaternary Science Reviews, 2010, 29(17-18): 2111-2122
[10] YANG B, QIN C, WANG J, et al. A 3,500-year tree-ring record of annual precipitation on the northeastern Tibetan Plateau[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2014, 111(8):2903-2908
[11] 黄磊, 邵雪梅, 刘洪滨,等. 树轮记录的青海柴达木盆地过去2800年来的极端干旱事件[J]. 气候与环境研究, 2010, 15(4):379-387 [HUANG Lei, SHAO Xuemei, LIU Hongbin, et al. A 2800-year tree-ring record of severe sustained extreme drought events in Qaidam Basin, Qinghai[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research, 2010, 15(4):379-387]
[12] ZHANG Q, CHENG G, YAO T, et al. A 2,326-year tree-ring record of climate variability on the northeastern Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2003, 30(14): 1739
[13] LIU J, YANG B, QIN C. Tree-ring based annual precipitation reconstruction since AD 1480 in south central Tibet[J]. Quaternary International, 2011, 236(1-2):75-81
[14] HE M, YANG B, BRAUNING A, et al. Tree-ring-derived millennial precipitation record for the southern Tibetan Plateau and its possible driving mechanism[J]. Holocene, 2013, 23(1):36-45
[15] LIU J, YANG B, HUANG K, et al. Annual regional precipitation variations from a 700 year treering record in south Tibet, western China[J]. Climate Research, 2012, 53(1):25-41
[16] 刘晶晶, NINA Datsenko. 树轮记录的青藏高原西南部过去644年的降水变化[J]. 第四纪研究, 2015, 35(5):1082-1092 [LIU Jingjing, NINA Datsenko. Tree-ring recorded 644-year precipitation variations on the southwestern Tibetan Plateau[J]. Quaternary Sciences, 2015, 35(5):1082-1092]
[17] 刘晶晶. 树轮记录的青藏高原南部过去526年降水变化特征[J]. 兰州大学学报(自然科学版), 2014,50(3): 293-298 [LIU Jingjing. Precipitation variations during the last 526 years inferred from tree-ring width on the southern Tibetan Plateau[J]. Journal of Lanzhou University(Natural Sciences),2014, 50(3): 293-298]
[18] GOU X H, YANG T, GAO L L, et al. A 457-year reconstruction of precipitation in the southeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, China using tree-ring records[J]. Science Bulletin, 2013, 58(10):1107-1114
[19] LIU Y, AN Z S, LINDERHOLM H W, et al. Annual temperatures during the last 2485 years in the mid-eastern Tibetan Plateau inferred from tree rings[J]. Science China Earth Sciences, 2009, 52(3):348-359
[20] GOU Xiaohua, CHEN Fahu, YANG Meixue, et al. Asymmetric variability between maximum and minimum temperatures in Northeastern Tibetan Plateau: evidence from tree rings[J]. Science in China(Earth Sciences), 2008, 51(1):41-55
[21] SHI X H, QIN N S, ZHU H F, et al. May-June mean maximum temperature change during 1360-2005 as reconstructed by tree rings of Sabina Tibetica in Zaduo, Qinghai Province[J]. Chinese Science Bulletin, 2010, 55(26):3023-3029
[22] HE M, YANG B, DATSENKO N M. A six hundred-year annual minimum temperature history for the central Tibetan Plateau derived from tree-ring width series[J]. Climate Dynamics, 2014, 43(3-4):641-655
[23] FAN Z X, BRAUNING A, YANG B, et al. Tree ring density-based summer temperature reconstruction for the central Hengduan Mountains in southern China[J]. Global & Planetary Change, 2009, 65(1):1-11
[24] FAN Z X, BRAUNING A, TIAN Q H, et al. Tree ring recorded May-August temperature variations since A.D. 1585 in the Gaoligong Mountains, southeastern Tibetan Plateau[J]. Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology, 2010, 296(2):94-102
[25] 喻树龙, 袁玉江, 魏文寿,等. 川西高原6-7月最低气温场重建研究[J]. 中国沙漠, 2012, 32(4): 1010-1016 [YU Shulong, YUAN Yujiang,WEI Wenshou, et al. Reconstruction of minimum temperature field I June-July during 1787-2005 in the west Sichan Plateau[J]. Journal of Desert Research, 2012, 32(4): 1010-1016]
[26] 秦宁生, 时兴合, 邵雪梅,等. 川西高原树木年轮所指示的平均最高气温变化[J]. 高原山地气象研究, 2008, 28(4):18-24 [QIN Ningsheng, SHI Xinghe, SHAO Xuemei, et al. Average maximum temperature change recorded by tree rings in west Sichuan Plateau[J]. Plateau and Mountain Meteorology Research, 2008, 28(4):18-24]
[27] YANG B, KANG X, LIU J, et al. Annual temperature history in Southwest Tibet during the last 400 years recorded by tree rings[J]. International Journal of Climatology, 2010, 30(7):962-971
[28] YANG B, KANG X C, BRAUNING A, et al. A 622-year regional temperature history of southeast Tibet derived from tree rings[J]. Holocene, 2010, 20(2):181-190
[29] ZHU H F, SHAO X M, YIN Z Y, et al. Early summer temperature reconstruction in the eastern Tibetan plateau since AD 1440 using tree-ring width of Sabina tibetica [J]. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2011, 106(1):45-53
[30] 张瑞波, 袁玉江, 魏文寿, 等. 西藏东部过去400年秋、冬季平均最低气温的树木年轮分析[J]. 高原气象,2010,29(2):359-365 [ZHANG Ruibo, YUAN Yujiang, WEI Wenshou, et al. Analysis on mean minimum temperature in the east Tibet from Autumn to Winter in tree ring of the past 400 years[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 2010, 29(2):359-365]
[31] LIANG E Y, SHAO X M, XU Y. Tree-ring evidence of recent abnormal warming on the southeast Tibetan Plateau[J]. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2009, 98(1-2):9-18
[32] ZHU H F, SHAO X M, YIN Z Y, et al. August temperature variability in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau since AD 1385 inferred from tree rings[J]. Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology, 2011, 305(1-4):84-92
[33] ZHANG R B, YUAN Y J, WEI W S, et al. Dendroclimatic reconstruction of autumn-winter mean minimum temperature in the eastern Tibetan Plateau since 1600 AD[J]. Dendrochronologia, 2015, 33:1-7
[34] WANG L, DUAN J, CHEN J, et al. Temperature reconstruction from tree-ring maximum density of Balfour spruce in eastern Tibet, China[J]. International Journal of Climatology, 2010, 30(7):972-979
[35] LIANG Eryuan, SHAO Xuemei, QIN Ningsheng. Tree-ring based summer temperature reconstruction for the source region of the Yangtze River on the Tibetan Plateau[J]. Global and Planetary Change, 2008, 61: 313-320
[36] 陈峰, 袁玉江, 喻树龙. 闽中北柳杉树轮指示的气候信号与季风区不同地域干湿变化关系[J]. 山地学报, 2015, 33(6):690-695 [CHEN Feng, YUAN Yujiang, YU Shulong[J]. Drought signals in the tree-ring width record of Cedar(Cryptomeria fortunei)trees from north central Fujian: linkages to the monsoonal regions[J]. Mountain Research, 2015, 33(6):690-695]
[37] LYU L, DENG X, ZHANG Q B. Elevation pattern in growth coherency on the Southeastern Tibetan Plateau[J]. Plos One, 2016, 11(9):e0163201.doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0163201
[38] HE M, YANG B, BRAUNING A. Tree growth-climate relationships of Juniperus tibetica, along an altitudinal gradient on the southern Tibetan Plateau[J]. Trees, 2013, 27(2):429-439
[39] WANG J, YANG B, QIN C, et al. Tree-ring inferred annual mean temperature variations on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau during the last millennium and their relationships with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation[J]. Climate Dynamics, 2014, 43(3-4):627-640
[40] COOK E R, KAIRIUKSTIS L A. Methods of Dendrochronology: Applications in the Environmental Sciences[M]. Dordrecht: Kluwer, 1990: 1-21
[41] HOLMES R L. Computer-assisted quality control in tree-ring dating and measurement[J]. Tree-ring bulletin, 1983, 43(1): 69-78
[42] STOKES M A. An introduction to tree-ring dating[M]. University of Arizona Press, 1996:1-61
[43] RINN F. TSAP-Win: Time Series Analysis Presentation for Dendrochronology and Related Applications. Version 4.64 User Reference[M]. Heidlberg, Germany, 2011. http://www.rinntech.com
[44] COOK E. R. Methods of Dendrochronology[M]. The Netherlands, Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1990: 1-200
[45] DAI A. Characteristics and trends in various forms of the Palmer Drought Severity Index(PDSI)during 1900-2008[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 2011, 116(D12):1248-1256
[46] MITCHELL T D, JONES P D. An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high-resolution grids[J]. International Journal Climatology, 2005, 25: 693-712
[47] BIONDI F, WAIKUL K. DENDROCLIM2002: A C++ program for statistical calibration of climate signals in tree-ring chronologies[J]. Computers & Geosciences, 2004, 30(3):303-311
[48] WANG Xiaochun, ZHANG Qibin, MA Keping, et al. A tree-ring record of 500-year dry-wet changes in northern Tibet, China[J]. The Holocene, 2008, 18(4): 579-588
[49] 叶秣麟, 秦宁生, 白爱娟,等. 利用树轮宽度重建黄河源区1618-2009年5-6月最高气温[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 2015, 11(2):86-92 [YE Molin, QIN Ningsheng, BAI Aijuan, et al. Using tree-ring width to reconstruct maximum air temperature of Yellow River source region in May-June over 1618-2009[J]. Climate Change Research, 2015, 11(2):86-92]
[50] 尚华明, 魏文寿, 袁玉江,等. 帕米尔东北部昆仑圆柏850 a树轮宽度年表的建立及其气候意义[J]. 沙漠与绿洲气象, 2015, 9(1):6-11 [SHANG Huaming, WEI Wenshou, YUAN Yujiang, et al. An 850-year tree-ring width chronology of Juniperus jarkendensis for the northeastern Pamirs and its climatic implications[J]. Desert and Oasis Meteorology, 2015, 9(1):6-11]
[51] 张瑞波, 尚华明, 魏文寿,等. 吉尔吉斯斯坦西天山上下林线树轮对气候的响应差异[J]. 沙漠与绿洲气象, 2013, 7(4):1-6 [ZHANG Ruibo, SHANG Huaming, WEI Wenshou, et al. Differences of tree-ring response to climate between upper and lower treeline in the western Tianshan Mountains of Kyrgyzstan[J]. Desert and Oasis Meteorology, 2013, 7(4):1-6]
[52] COOK E R, MEKO D M, STAHLE D W, et al. Drought reconstructions for the Continental United States[J]. Journal of Climate, 1999, 12(4):1145-1162
[53] FAN Z, BRAUNING A, CAO K. Tree-ring based drought reconstruction in the central Hengduan Mountains region(China)since A.D. 1655[J]. International Journal of Climatology, 2010, 28(14):1879-1887
[54] 徐宗学, 张玲, 黄俊雄,等. 西藏地区气温、降水及相对湿度的趋势分析[J]. 气象, 2007, 33(7):82-88 [XU Zongxue, ZHANG Ling, HUANG Junxiong et al. Long-term trend of temperature, precipitation and relative humidity in the Tibetan region[J]. Meteorological Monthly, 2007, 33(7):82-88]
[55] 张磊, 缪启龙. 青藏高原近40年来的降水变化特征[J]. 干旱区地理, 2007, 30(2):240-246 [ZHANG Lei, LIAO Qilong. Precipitation changes in the Tibetan Plateau during the last four decades[J]. Arid Land Geology, 2007, 30(2):240-246]
[56] LI J, SHI J, ZHANG D D, et al. Moisture increase in response to high-altitude warming evidenced by tree-rings on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau[J]. Climate Dynamics, 2016, 48(1-2):649-660
[57] SHI C, DAUX V, LI Z, et al. The response of relative humidity to centennial-scale warming over the southeastern Tibetan Plateau inferred from tree-ring width chronologies[J]. Climate Dynamics, 2018:1-12
[58] YANG K, YE B, ZHOU D, et al. Response of hydrological cycle to recent climate changes in the Tibetan Plateau[J]. Climatic Change, 2011, 109(3-4):517-534
[59] ZHANG Q B, EVANS M N, LYU L. Moisture dipole over the Tibetan Plateau during the past five and a half centuries[J]. Nature Communications, 2015, 6:8062
[60] LIANG E, LIU X, YUAN Y. The 1920s drought recorded by tree rings and historical documents in the semiarid and arid areas of northern China[J]. Climatic Change, 2006, 79(3-4):403-432
[61] TROUET V, OLDENBORGH G J V. KNMI Climate Explorer: A web-based research tool for high-resolution paleoclimatology[J]. Tree-Ring Research, 2013, 69(1):3-13

相似文献/References:

[1]洪婷,白世彪,王建,等.利用树轮重建九房山滑坡活动年份[J].山地学报,2012,(01):57.
　HONG Ting,BAI Shibiao,WANG Jian,et al.Reconstruct the Activity Years of Jiufangshan Landslide by Means of Treerings[J].Mountain Research,2012,(06):57.
[2]尚华明,魏文寿,袁玉江,等.哈萨克斯坦东北部310年来初夏温度变化的树轮记录[J].山地学报,2011,(04):402.
　SHANG Huaming,WEI Wenshou,et al.Early Summer Temperature History in Northeastern Kazakhstan during the Last 310 Years Recorded by Tree Rings[J].Mountain Research,2011,(06):402.
[3]徐国保,刘晓宏,陈拓,等.新疆哈密八大石森林上限树轮记录的温度变化信息[J].山地学报,2009,(04):402.
[4]管增艳a,石松林a*,金亚宁a,等.四川峨眉山不同年龄冷杉径向生长对气候变化的响应差异[J].山地学报,2023,(1):56.[doi:10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000730]
　GUAN Zengyana,SHI Songlina*,JIN Yaninga,et al.Response of Radial Growth of Abies fabri at Different Ages to Climate Change in Mount Emei, Sichuan, China[J].Mountain Research,2023,(06):56.[doi:10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000730]

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期(Received date):2018-01-03; 改回日期(Accepted date):2018-10-23
基金项目(Foundation item):中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费(IDM201102); 国家自然科学基金(91547115,41205124,41271098); 气象行业专项(GYHY201206014)。[Basic Research Operating Expense of the Central-level Non-profit Research Institutes(IDM201102); National Natural Science Foundation of China(91547115,41205124,41271098); Meteorology Public Welfare Industry Research Special Project(GYHY201206014)]
作者简介(Biography):尚华明(1979-),男,湖北广水人,副研究员,主要从事树轮年代学与环境演变研究。[SHANG Huaming(1979-), male, associate professor, born in Guangshui, Hubei province, research on dendrochronology and environmental evolution] E-mail:shang8632@163.com
更新日期/Last Update: 2018-11-30