[1]程新宇杰,高 路*.基于综合自然区划的天山区域气温变化研究[J].山地学报,2018,(02):194-205.[doi:10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000315]
　CHENG Xinyujie,GAO Lu*.Temperature Changes in Tianshan Mountains Based on Integrated Physicogeographical Regionalization[J].Mountain Research,2018,(02):194-205.[doi:10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000315]
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基于综合自然区划的天山区域气温变化研究()
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《山地学报》[ISSN:1008-2186/CN:51-1516]

卷:
期数:
2018年02期
页码:
194-205
栏目:
山地环境
出版日期:
2018-03-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Temperature Changes in Tianshan Mountains Based on Integrated Physicogeographical Regionalization
文章编号:
1008-2786-(2018)2-194-12
作者:
程新宇杰1; 2; 高 路1; 2; 3; 4*
1.福建师范大学 地理研究所,福州 350007; 2.福建师范大学 地理科学学院, 福州 350007; 3.福建省陆地灾害监测评估工程技术研究中心,福州 350007; 4.湿润亚热带山地生态国家重点实验室培育基地,福州 350007
Author(s):
CHENG Xinyujie1; 2;  GAO Lu1; 2; 3; 4*
1.Institute of Geography, Fujian Normal University, Fuzhou 350007, China; 2.College of Geographical Science, Fujian Normal University, Fuzhou 350007, China; 3.Fujian Provincial Engineering Research Center for Monitoring and Assessing Terrestrial Disaste
关键词:
气温;  自然区划;  日最高气温;  日最低气温;  趋势变化;  天山山区
Keywords:
temperature;  integrated physicogeographical regionalization;  daily maximum temperature;  daily minimum temperature;  trend;  Tianshan Mountains
分类号:
P466
DOI:
10.16089/j.cnki.1008-2786.000315
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
根据天山山区综合自然区划,选取14个代表性气象站点,利用线性趋势分析、Mann-Kendall突变检验、R\S分析方法对天山四大自然地带14个自然区1960-2013年气温变化特征及未来趋势进行了分析,结果表明:天山山区20世纪90年代来气温呈上升趋势,在90年代末发生突变,21世纪以来增温显著。四大自然地带气温增加速率不尽相同,其增速从大到小依次为伊犁谷地温带荒漠自然地带、天山北坡中温带荒漠自然地带、天山南坡暖温带荒漠自然地带、巴音布鲁克寒温带草原-草甸自然地带。四大自然地带都表现为日最低气温增幅大于日平均气温和日最高气温。从季节上看,天山山区冬季增温主要源于日最低气温的升高。根据Hurst指数,未来一段时间内,天山伊犁谷地、天山南坡和巴音布鲁克气温将会继续上升,尤其是日最低气温上升会更加明显,它的升高对日平均气温的升高贡献显著。天山北坡秋季和冬季升温趋势将可能放缓或者呈降温趋势。
Abstract:
In this study, 14 representative meteorological stations were selected according to integrated physicogeographical regionalization of the Tianshan Mountains.The linear trend analysis, Mann-Kendall test and R/S method were used to analyze the characteristics of daily temperature changes and trends in 4 natural zones and 14 natural regions of the Tianshan Mountains from 1960-2013.The results showed that the temperature was increasing since 1990s, especially significant since 21th century with a mutation in the late of 1990s.The temperature trend rates were different in 4 nature zones, which decreased in the order of Ili valley, the north slope of Tianshan Mountains, the south slope of Tianshan Mountains, and Bayanbulak.The daily minimum temperature increased greater than the daily average and maximum temperatures.In terms of seasons, the warmer winter was mainly due to the increasing daily minimum temperature.The temperature would continue to increase in Ili valley, the south slope of Tianshan Mountains and Bayanbulak in the future according to Hurst index.In particular, the daily minimum temperature might be more significant.The increasing minimum temperature had a significant contribution to the warming trend of daily average temperature.The warming trend was possible to slow down or decrease in north the slope of the Tianshan Mountains in autumn and winter.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期(Received date):2017-04-11; 改回日期(Accepted date): 2017-09-01
基金项目(Foundation item):国家自然科学基金项目(41501106)。[National Natural Science Foundation of China(41501106).]
作者简介(Biography):程新宇杰(1991- ),男,浙江杭州人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向:区域气候变化。[CHENG Xinyujie(1991- ), male, M.Sc.candidate, research on regional climate change.] E-mail:chengxinyujie@163.com
*通讯作者(Corresponding author):高路(1983- ),男,博士,副研究员,硕士生导师,研究方向:水文气象与自然灾害。[GAO Lu(1983- ), male, Ph.D., associate professor, research on hydrometeorology and natural disasters.] E-mail: l.gao@foxmail.com
更新日期/Last Update: 2018-03-30