[1]高翠霞,陈忠升,陈亚鹏,等.近50多年来新疆伊犁河谷产业结构演进特征[J].山地学报,2011,(04):459.
　GAO Cuixia,CHEN Zhongsheng,CHEN Yapeng,et al.Characteristics of Industrial Structure Evolution in Recent More Than 50 Years in Ili River Valley of Xinjiang[J].Mountain Research,2011,(04):459.
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近50多年来新疆伊犁河谷产业结构演进特征()
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《山地学报》[ISSN:1008-2186/CN:51-1516]

卷:
期数:
2011年04期
页码:
459
栏目:
山地学报
出版日期:
2011-01-01

文章信息/Info

Title:
Characteristics of Industrial Structure Evolution in Recent More Than 50 Years in Ili River Valley of Xinjiang
作者:
高翠霞;陈忠升;陈亚鹏;陈亚宁;
中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所 / 荒漠与绿洲生态国家重点实验室，新疆 乌鲁木齐 830011
Author(s):
GAO Cuixia;  CHEN Zhongsheng; CHEN Yapeng;  CHEN Yaning
State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, 818, Beijing Nanlu, Urumqi 830011, Xinjiang, China
关键词:
产业结构演进; 偏离-份额分析法; 伊犁河谷
Keywords:
industrial structure evolution; Shift-Share Method; Ili River Valley
分类号:
F061.5
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
采用产业经济学、计量经济学、统计学中的相关方法,对伊犁河谷1956—2008年期间产业结构演进的特征进行了定量评价,并针对伊犁河谷产业结构演进的三个阶段及其特征进行了研究。利用指标计算分析了三次产业及其内部结构、就业产业结构、产业结构升级转换等层面的动态演进过程,然后运用偏离-份额分析法计算了1956—1978年、1979—1992年和1993—2008年三个代表时段产业结构演进的数量特征。结果表明,伊犁河谷产业结构演进特征具有以下特点:1.一产比重一直呈现明显的下降趋势,二产业比重总体上处于上升趋势,第三产业比第二产业上升快,但内部结构不合理;2.产业结构和就业结构发展表现出极强的不均衡性;...
Abstract:
Industrial structure is the base and core of economic structure, and its evolution relates greatly to the speed and quality of economic development. In this paper, based on use of the correlative methods in industrial economy, econometrics and statistics, Ili River Valley’s industrial structure evolution from 1956 to 2008 is quantificationally estimated. After pointing out the three phases of Ili River Valley’s industrial structure evolution and their different characteristics, this Paper analyzed the dynamic evolution of the three industries and their internal structure, employment and production structure, and upgrade and conversion of industrial structure by indicators. Furthermore, it concluded the analysis on quantitative characteristics of the internal structure evolution in the three typical periods of 1956—1978, 1979—1992 and 1993—2008 by using the SSM method. The results show that Ili River Valley’s industrial structure have some characteristics: 1Specific gravity of primary industry assumes to go down obviously all the time, secondary industry’s one is in an uptrend for as a whole, and tertiary industry develops quickly relativing to secondary industry, but inner structure is still unreasonable. 2The development of industrial structure and employment one shows obviously the fact which is very unbalanced in the Ili River Valley
3Conversion rate of the industrial structure is gradually slowing down. In particular, after 1993 year the conversion rate of the industrial structure is relatively unobvious along with the increasing normalization, largescale and maturity of economic activity. 4The evolution of industrial structure in the Ili River Valley has been relying on the development of traditional agriculture and animal husbandry, and the backward industry and undeveloped tertiary industry are seriously restricting the evolution of the industrial structure.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期(Received date)：2010-12-20；改回日期(Accepted) : 2011-05-04。
基金项目（Foundation item）：国家“十一五”科技支撑课题“伊犁河流域产业发展模式与生态系统可持续管理研究”(2007BAC15B08)。\[National "Eleventh Five-Year" support issues "Ili River basin model of industrial development research and sustainable management of ecosystems" (2007BAC15B08).\]
作者简介（Biography）：高翠霞,女,汉族,博士生,主要从事区域发展研究。\[Gao Cuixia,Female, PhD，Mainly engaged in the Regional Development.\] *
通讯作者(Corresponding author)：陈亚宁,博士,研究员。\[Cheng Yaning, Ph.D.,\] E-mail: chenyn@ms.xjb.ac.cn
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01